ALTMAN Z-SCORE
Financial Dictionary — Risk & Performance
Definition
"ALTMAN Z-SCORE reliably predicts whether a company is likely to enter bankruptcy within a year or two: ALTMAN Z-SCORE If your Z-Score is 3.0 or higher - bankruptcy is unlikely. ALTMAN Z-SCORE If the Z-Score is 1.8 or less - bankruptcy is likely. ALTMAN Z-SCORE A Z-Score between 1.8 and 3.0 is the gray area, meaning a high degree of caution should be used. ALTMAN Z-SCORE The odds of bankruptcy within the above ranges are 95% within one year and 70% within two years. The A-Score between the two is the gray area. Obviously, a higher Z-score is desirable. It is best to evaluate the Z-Score for each individual company against that of the industry. In low profit margin industries, it is possible for Z-scores to fall below the above. In such cases comparing the trend with the industry over successive periods of time may be a better indicator. It must be remembered that the Z-Score is only as valid as the data from which it is derived, i.e. if a company alters or falsifies its financial records/books, the Z-Score derived from those “cooked books” is less useful."
Detailed Explanation
Altman Z-Score is a financial distress model that uses a set of ratios to estimate the likelihood of bankruptcy. It is used as an early warning indicator, and should be interpreted in the context of industry and data quality.
Common Uses
- Used to explain the concept in accounting and business contexts.
- Used when training staff or documenting procedures and policies.
- Used when training staff or documenting procedures and policies.
Practical Example
- Example: Teams reference **ALTMAN Z-SCORE** when defining terms in manuals, policies, or training materials.
Why This Term Matters
- Why it matters: Improves clarity and consistency across documentation and decision-making.